Friday, March 31, 2006

Hezbollah should move to Syria

Hassan Nasrallah is another interesting character. He is surely a smart man but his ideas and speeches defy logic. There are no normal nations in the world that have a group of heavily armed people outside the army, and yet he insists on keeping his weapons. Obviously the goal is not to protect Lebanon from Israel since the latter can blow up all of Lebanon with missiles and warplanes while Hezbollah is watching. Indeed, when Israel was blowing up power station after power station, Hezbollah was watching helpless. Helpless since none of the Resistance’s weapons can reach the warplanes! Ouch! Hassan Nasrallah forgot to diversify his arsenal like any modern military!

Another of Hassan Nasrallah’s blunders is that the Resistance’s weapons will never be turned against a Lebanese party. At the same time he launches threats that the arm, leg and soul of whoever tries to take his weapons by force will be broken. Who is the target of these threats? Israel and the US? Well, if he can break the arm of the US that would be something. Almighty Saddam couldn’t! These threats are empty, directed especially at keeping the Lebanese population in fear. Great job Mr. Nasrallah! Keep the Lebanese people fearful of civil war. This is the true goal behind your shameless Resistance. I don’t think any Israeli is having trouble sleeping but many many Lebanese can’t close an eye at night because of your elegant threats.

With all due respect, a few old technology missiles cannot protect Lebanon against an aggression from Israel, Mr. Nasrallah. By the way, this is technology that was invented in the West many decades ago. Using, against your enemy, an obsolete technology that was invented by your enemy is kind of stupid, don’t you think? Don’t you think that your enemy has developed ways to neutralize this old technology?

Here’s a proposal to Mr. Nasrallah.

Since he thinks so highly of Syria, and since he is so eager to defend the Arab cause, and since so many in Lebanon are ungratefully complaining about his army, and since in Syria there is currently no Resistance of the kind that he has, and since the occupied Golan is much larger than the Shebaa farms and in more urgent need for liberation, I suggest that Mr. Nasrallah and his army move to Syria.

This is a win-win move since I suppose the Syrian people will be more grateful, and the thorny issue with at least half of the Lebanese people will be resolved. Once in Syria, Hezbollah will be able to receive all the gratitude of the valiant Syrian people (assuming they are more supportive of the Arab cause than the unappreciative and coward Lebanese). The party will benefit from direct and full support of its beloved Syrian regime. It will have access to much needed weapons without having to deal with obnoxious Lebanese border customs. And it should have an open platform to wage incessant attacks on Israel, especially that the Syrian regime will be eager to let the Resistance begin the liberation of Arab land, starting from the Golan Heights. There is no reason to doubt that Nasrallah will succeed where Nasser and Assad failed.

However, there is one minor problem.

What if many Syrians, just like many Lebanese, are unappreciative cowards who do not like the idea of Mr. Nasrallah’s buddies carrying weapons in the streets of Syria?

To solve this minor problem, I propose a simple opinion poll in Syria:

- If a majority of Syrians will be happy with the idea of Mr. Nasrallah and company settling in Syria, then the case is closed.

- If, on the other hand, a majority of Syrians will be unhappy with the armed group moving to Syria, then Mr. Nasrallah should realize that his militia is unwelcome in many Arab nations and that he has to rethink the reason of its existence. If rejected by half the population of Lebanon and Syria, I think the best solution for Hezbollah is to disarm and join the political life. Or join the Lebanese, or Syrian, official armies.

Long live Lebanon and the Arab nations.

Saturday, March 25, 2006

Give peace to Israel

On the Israeli economy and the gap between rich and poor:

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/business/4833602.stm

This goes to show that if the Arabs were to give peace to Israel, it will slowly fall into the curse of Western society, the curse of capitalism, the curse of the middle class, the curse of boredom and depression.

While the dynamic Arabic youth will recreate another Chinese success. Rising from zero to overtake the West.

The best way to beat Israel is to give it peace. An odd paradox of nature.

Monday, March 20, 2006

A Solution to Tsunami Aoun

Michel Aoun is a strange character. I have hard time telling if he's honest or full of lies. Probably a pathological liar but the support he is getting from many Christians makes you wonder. It's like believing in Jesus Christ just because so many people around you believe in this icon. Psychology of the masses.

Not only strange but Michel Aoun is also a problematic character. He is behind deep divisions between the Christians. If he were really concerned about the Christians he should move back to France and let the Christians heal their wounds and reunite (and Geagea could do the same to be fair). Assuming for a moment that he is highly capable and intelligent, he should know that Lebanon is full of other highly capable and intelligent people who can take over. Quite frankly we can do without his services and help. He is creating more problems for the Christians and all of Lebanon than he is solving.

Unfortunately, it will be near impossible to convince Michel Aoun to move back to France. He understands nothing to politics - he messed up already many times - and he is being led by smarter politicians. Quite a clown. His agenda is pure nonsense. All he can do is criticize the government day and night when he has no better alternative. Nothing constructive. A purely destructive force. Luckily he is no longer leading an army of tanks and canons. Cause beware when Michel is angry.

But there may be a solution to this tsunami called Aoun. Lately he sounds quite beaten. He obviously realizes that he is loosing at many levels, including some of his popularity. This is good news because it will force him to come down to Earth, calm down and accept to negotiate (not his favorite sport).

The solution must take into account the feelings of his followers as well as Hezbollah so that we start a healing process rather than deepen the wounds.

In my opinion, the right solution at the moment is to replace Emile Lahoud by Michel Aoun. This solves many problems at once and has the potential to start a true healing process in Lebanon. Setting Michel Aoun as the interim president is like curing the disease by the disease itself. A vaccine so to speak: insert a small quantity of the virus in the body in a controlled manner to boost the immune system and prevent a catastrophe.

If Michel Aoun excels at his dream job as the interim president, we will all cheer him up and officially elect him for the next round. But this is quite unlikely: he gives me the impression of an incompetent who can’t control his temper. So if he fails, the Christians current dilemma will automatically be solved! It’s a win-win situation.

If he turns out to be Lebanon’s De Gaulle, that will be fine with most of us. But more likely what will happen is that once confronted with real life problems, he will fail to achieve much, day after day the people will become disenchanted, and his charm will be forever tainted. Put the monkey on stage and watch the fun. The next election he will loose and retire (if he has any dignity) or continue his political career in ranting and cursing. Tsunami Aoun will be defeated.

Moreover, by placing Aoun in the presidency, both Emile Lahoud and Hassan Nasrallah will find themselves in an awkward position. Emile Lahoud will have no allies left and will be forced to quit. Aoun will have to make some decisions on the situation in the South (if he wants to appear at least 1% like De Gaulle) and that will put him at odds with Hassan Nasrallah.

Cure the disease by the disease itself. Let the bullies bully each other so that we can be done once and for all.